Below is a fully transparent profit/loss account of all bets put forward by the simulations-based modelling approach (all flagged in advance in The Tips section).
The Points Staking Plan approach assumes starting with a bank of 0 points (level), while the ¼ Kelly Criterion Staking Plan assumes starting with a bank of €1,000 (level).
* Profit and loss staking plans assume 5% commission is paid on all winning bets placed on Betfair’s exchange.
|
Bet |
Points Staking Plan*
|
¼ Kelly Criterion Staking Plan* |
||||
| Outlay | P/L | Bank | Outlay | P/L | Bank | |
| Suedois, place | 2 | +1.75 | +1.75 | 10.8%,€108 | +€94.39 | €1,094.39 |
| Matterhorn, place | 2 | -2 | -0.25 | 13.1%, €143.15 | – €143.15 | €951.24 |